Montreal is the favourite to win the Grey Cup, Dan Toth predicts.

Throwing away the mortgage money on a potential Grey Cup winner before the season even starts is pure lunacy, especially in the most unpredictable pro sports league on the planet. But we’re playing with house money, so let’s lay down some odds and project the sure shots, long shots and haven’t-got-a-shots for the upcoming 2011 CFL season.

Montreal, 3-1: The two-time defending Grey Cup champs have made three straight appearances in the title game and there is no reason to believe “Les Larks” are finished picking up CFL jewelry. QB Anthony Calvillo is another year older (38) and is without SB Ben Cahoon (retired) and RB Avon Cobourne (free agency), but the Als are king of the hill until someone knocks them off.

Calgary, 4-1:?The Stamps have 2010 most outstanding player Henry Burris back at the helm and he’s always a threat, despite significant changes along the O-line. Burris has Joffrey Reynolds, the CFL’s top RB, in the backfield. On defence, the secondary is without CBs Brandon Browner (NFL) and Dwight Anderson (free agency). The Stamps have plenty to prove after following up their 2008 Grey Cup win with two West final losses.

Saskatchewan, 5-1:?Significant changes in 2011, including a rebuilt coaching staff under newcomer Greg Marshall, could affect the Green Giants. The Riders also lost SB Andy Fantuz (NFL), but bolstered Darian Durant’s O-line with the addition of Alex Gauthier and George Hudson.

B.C., 6-1: The heat is on head coach Wally Buono to get his Lions into the Grey Cup at B.C. Place Stadium in November. Helping his chances is QB Travis Lulay, who proved late last season that he has the arm and leadership ability to get it done. Lulay will have 2010 most outstanding offensive lineman Ben Archibald, a free agent from Calgary, buying him time in the backfield.

Hamilton, 10-1: The Tabbies could be contenders in the East but have struggled in the playoffs. The addition of free agent RB Avon Cobourne could provide the missing ingredient in the post-season.

Edmonton, 20-1:  Top-to-bottom changes this season will make for a long year for the Green and Gold. Could miss the playoffs.

Toronto, 30-1: A solid D got the Argos into the East final last year, but they will go no farther without a QB.

Winnipeg, 50-1: The Blue Bombers were 4-14 last season, but nine of those losses were by four points or less. A healthy Buck Pierce at quarterback could turn the agony of defeat into the joy of victory, but don’t bet on it.

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